Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Lecce xG
Expected goals
1.5
Parma xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
0–1
7%
1–0
7%
0–2
6%
Home
Lecce
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.2
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
Parma
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.4
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lecce vs Parma?
Parma is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lecce's current form?
Lecce have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Serie A