Match Analysis

LeccevsParma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
24%
39%
Lecce winDrawParma win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.80
1.10Avg goals scored0.91
2.23Avg goals conceded1.43
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Lecce xG

Expected goals

1.5

Parma xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Parma

Parma

WDLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Parma?

Parma is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lecce Win37%
Draw24%
Parma Win39%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%