Match Analysis

LeccevsSassuolo

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
20%
29%
Lecce winDrawSassuolo win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.00
1.09Avg goals scored1.32
2.05Avg goals conceded2.99
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Lecce xG

Expected goals

1.7

Sassuolo xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

3–1

6%

2–0

5%

Home

Lecce

Lecce

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lecce vs Sassuolo?

Lecce is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lecce's current form?

Lecce have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lecce Win51%
Draw20%
Sassuolo Win29%
BTTS73%
Over 2.575%