Match Analysis

MonzavsAtalanta

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
20%
35%
Monza winDrawAtalanta win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.60
1.73Avg goals scored1.73
2.38Avg goals conceded2.29
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Monza xG

Expected goals

2.1

Atalanta xG

79%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–2

6%

2–3

5%

3–1

5%

Home

Monza

Monza

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Atalanta

Atalanta

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Monza vs Atalanta?

Monza is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Monza's current form?

Monza have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Monza Win45%
Draw20%
Atalanta Win35%
BTTS79%
Over 2.581%