Match Analysis

MonzavsComo

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
21%
55%
Monza winDrawComo win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game3.00
1.73Avg goals scored1.80
2.38Avg goals conceded0.67
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)5–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Monza xG

Expected goals

2.1

Como xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Monza

Monza

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Como

Como

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.7

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Monza vs Como?

Como is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Monza's current form?

Monza have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Monza Win24%
Draw21%
Como Win55%
BTTS66%
Over 2.568%