Match Analysis

NapolivsCagliari

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
22%
22%
Napoli winDrawCagliari win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.60
1.78Avg goals scored0.91
1.39Avg goals conceded1.64
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Napoli xG

Expected goals

1.2

Cagliari xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

2–0

8%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

LLWDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Cagliari

Cagliari

WLLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs Cagliari?

Napoli is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Napoli Win56%
Draw22%
Cagliari Win22%
BTTS60%
Over 2.562%