Napoli vs Como
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Napoli xG
Expected goals
1
Como xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
11%
0–1
11%
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
Home
Napoli
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Como
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
1.6 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Napoli vs Como?
Napoli is favored with a 35% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Napoli's current form?
Napoli have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Napoli won 1, drew 2, and Como won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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