Match Analysis

NapolivsFrosinone

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
22%
39%
Napoli winDrawFrosinone win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.66Avg goals scored2.30
1.33Avg goals conceded1.46
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Napoli xG

Expected goals

1.8

Frosinone xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

1–0

5%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Frosinone

Frosinone

LWWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs Frosinone?

This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Napoli Win39%
Draw22%
Frosinone Win39%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%