Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Napoli xG
Expected goals
1.9
Lazio xG
66%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
9%
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
0–1
6%
0–2
6%
Home
Napoli
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Lazio
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.5 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Napoli vs Lazio?
Lazio is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Napoli's current form?
Napoli have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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