Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Napoli xG
Expected goals
1.2
Lecce xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
10%
1–1
9%
2–0
8%
1–0
7%
3–1
7%
2–2
6%
Home
Napoli
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Lecce
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Napoli vs Lecce?
Napoli is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Napoli's current form?
Napoli have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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