Match Analysis

NapolivsTorino

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
23%
28%
Napoli winDrawTorino win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
1.66Avg goals scored1.40
1.33Avg goals conceded1.54
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Napoli xG

Expected goals

1.4

Torino xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Napoli

Napoli

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Torino

Torino

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Napoli vs Torino?

Napoli is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Napoli's current form?

Napoli have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Napoli Win49%
Draw23%
Torino Win28%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%