Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Parma xG
Expected goals
2.2
AS Roma xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
10%
1–1
9%
0–2
8%
0–1
7%
1–3
7%
0–3
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $65K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Parma
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
AS Roma
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.9 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Parma vs AS Roma?
AS Roma is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Parma's current form?
Parma have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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