Match Analysis

ParmavsFiorentina

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
23%
37%
Parma winDrawFiorentina win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
0.92Avg goals scored1.78
1.52Avg goals conceded2.17
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Parma xG

Expected goals

1.6

Fiorentina xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Parma

Parma

LWDLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Parma vs Fiorentina?

Parma is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Parma's current form?

Parma have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Parma Win40%
Draw23%
Fiorentina Win37%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%