Match Analysis

SassuolovsAC Milan

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
17%
64%
Sassuolo winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.80
1.32Avg goals scored2.16
2.99Avg goals conceded1.31
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Sassuolo xG

Expected goals

2.8

AC Milan xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–3

7%

1–1

6%

2–2

6%

2–3

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sassuolo's current form?

Sassuolo have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sassuolo Win19%
Draw17%
AC Milan Win64%
BTTS73%
Over 2.580%