Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Sassuolo xG
Expected goals
2.5
Fiorentina xG
79%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
1–3
6%
2–1
6%
2–3
6%
Home
Sassuolo
PPG
0.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 3.0
Last 5
0W 0D 5L
Away
Fiorentina
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.8 / 2.2
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?
Fiorentina is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sassuolo's current form?
Sassuolo have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Serie A