Match Analysis

SassuolovsFiorentina

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
19%
49%
Sassuolo winDrawFiorentina win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.00
1.32Avg goals scored1.77
2.99Avg goals conceded2.17
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Sassuolo xG

Expected goals

2.5

Fiorentina xG

79%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–1

6%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

2–3

6%

Home

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?

Fiorentina is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sassuolo's current form?

Sassuolo have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sassuolo Win32%
Draw19%
Fiorentina Win49%
BTTS79%
Over 2.583%