Match Analysis

SassuolovsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
22%
49%
Sassuolo winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.80
1.32Avg goals scored1.16
2.99Avg goals conceded1.27
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Sassuolo xG

Expected goals

2

Genoa xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

0–2

6%

Home

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Genoa?

Genoa is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sassuolo's current form?

Sassuolo have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sassuolo Win29%
Draw22%
Genoa Win49%
BTTS67%
Over 2.568%