Match Analysis

SassuolovsParma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
22%
43%
Sassuolo winDrawParma win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game0.80
1.32Avg goals scored0.93
2.99Avg goals conceded1.51
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Sassuolo xG

Expected goals

1.8

Parma xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 3.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Parma

Parma

LWDLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Parma?

Parma is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sassuolo's current form?

Sassuolo have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sassuolo Win35%
Draw22%
Parma Win43%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%