Torino vs Ac Milan
🇮🇹 Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Torino xG
Expected goals
1.2
AC Milan xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
8%
2–0
8%
3–1
7%
1–2
6%
Home
Torino
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
AC Milan
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Torino vs Ac Milan?
Torino is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Torino's current form?
Torino have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Torino won 2, drew 1, and Ac Milan won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Serie A