Match Analysis

TorinovsLecce

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
22%
25%
Torino winDrawLecce win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
1.40Avg goals scored1.09
1.54Avg goals conceded2.05
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Torino xG

Expected goals

1.3

Lecce xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

7%

2–0

7%

1–2

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Torino

Torino

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Lecce

Lecce

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Torino vs Lecce?

Torino is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Torino's current form?

Torino have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Torino Win53%
Draw22%
Lecce Win25%
BTTS63%
Over 2.564%