Match Analysis

UdinesevsFiorentina

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
21%
47%
Udinese winDrawFiorentina win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.00
0.93Avg goals scored1.77
2.33Avg goals conceded2.17
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Udinese xG

Expected goals

2.1

Fiorentina xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Udinese

Udinese

LLDLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Udinese vs Fiorentina?

Fiorentina is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Udinese's current form?

Udinese have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Udinese Win32%
Draw21%
Fiorentina Win47%
BTTS72%
Over 2.573%