Match Analysis

VeneziavsAS Roma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
18%
66%
Venezia winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
0.72Avg goals scored2.92
1.65Avg goals conceded1.06
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Venezia xG

Expected goals

2.3

AS Roma xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

0–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–1

8%

0–3

7%

1–3

7%

Home

Venezia

Venezia

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

WLWWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.9 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Venezia vs AS Roma?

AS Roma is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Venezia's current form?

Venezia have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Venezia Win16%
Draw18%
AS Roma Win66%
BTTS60%
Over 2.566%