Match Analysis

VeneziavsNapoli

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
24%
49%
Venezia winDrawNapoli win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.00
0.72Avg goals scored1.66
1.65Avg goals conceded1.33
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Venezia xG

Expected goals

1.7

Napoli xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Venezia

Venezia

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Napoli

Napoli

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Venezia vs Napoli?

Napoli is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Venezia's current form?

Venezia have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Venezia Win27%
Draw24%
Napoli Win49%
BTTS57%
Over 2.555%